
Treat
Russia like a large competitive power
Sun Sentinel
Stephen M. Ackerman
January 8th, 2001 |
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While Kingsley Guy’s
Dec. 29 column, “Symbols from glory days are not a threat now,”
correctly asserts the United States should not be “uneased” by
Russia’s adoption of some Soviet and pre-Soviet national symbols, in
the area of U.S. foreign policy toward Russia, the United States needs
to recognize that part of Russia’s restoration will include pursuing
its national interests abroad.
To say this won’t be an easy task for the incoming Bush
administration is an obvious understatement.
Nevertheless, the United States can develop a solid working
relationship with Russia, provided it treats Russia like a large
competitive power that will continue to exert its interests outside
its present borders, such as in the Middle East.
Russia
recently expanded its military trading relationship with Iran.
Not only will this provide Iran with technology that could
assist it in its nuclear program, but the move comes in the wake of an
announcement by Russia that it plans to back out of a 1995 agreement
to stop selling battlefield weapons to Iran.
While Russia is doing this partly because it needs to sell arms
abroad for prosperity at home, it shows Russia is willing to deal with
the anti-Western terrorist state to re-energize its interests and to
be a competitor in the Mideast.
This
move is even more problematic as it comes during a time when Saddam
Hussein not only boosted his anti-U.S. and anti-Israel rhetoric, but
orchestrated the largest military parade since the end of the Gulf
War.
For the Bush administration, the answer involves taking
advantage of a recent Gulf Cooperation Council initiative to
coordinate their militaries to fend off an attack by Iran or Iraq, and
to move forward with a proposed anti-missile system for the region
that focuses on biological and chemical weapons.
However, the Gulf states expressed support for the
Palestinians, so the U.S. role in the Middle East negotiations must be
careful not to alienate our allies in the Gulf.
The administration should also enlist Russia’s (and
France’s) support to recreate the anti-Iraq coalition by emphasizing
our mutual support against terrorism.
For the United States, terrorism in the Mideast continues to be
a problem, and is centrally important in the Gulf because of oil.
For Russia, terrorism by predominantly Muslim states with ties
to Central Asian countries is a problem.
Re-energizing
the coalition will not be easy, as the coalition has largely fallen
apart. However,
re-energizing the coalition under the rubric of anti-terrorism and
regional stability can forestall uncontrolled Russian involvement in
the Middle East, while acknowledging the Russians as players in the
region. Colin Powell’s
former role as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff during the
Persian Gulf War provides powerful credentials.
We
shouldn’t be surprised that a country as large and complex as Russia
seeks to re-engage abroad as it continues to stabilize and consolidate
at home. The question is
not whether the old Soviet Empire will re-emerge; it will not.
The question is where and how Russia’s re-emerging
centralized government and authoritarian-style leadership will compete
with the United States in the international system, and how the United
States should respond.
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